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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+550/-600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +580 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mac Jones.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
  • The Giants defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 51.1% to 54.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 45.7% red zone run rate.
  • After averaging 58.0 air yards per game last year, Demarcus Robinson has been a disappointment this year, now boasting 47.0 per game.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 25.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 33.3.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson has not caught any TDs this year.

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