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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+750/-900).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +900 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 51.1% to 56.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • After totaling 58.0 air yards per game last year, Demarcus Robinson has regressed heavily this year, currently sitting at 44.0 per game.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 33.3.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on the back of Demarcus Robinson's trading card this year.

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