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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-133/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a substantial improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 51.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 19.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 33.3.
  • With a feeble 1.4 adjusted receptions per game (25th percentile) this year, Demarcus Robinson rates as one of the worst pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.
  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a mere 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

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