Demarcus Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Demarcus Robinson's 65.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 51.1% figure.
The Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) versus wide receivers this year (68.4%).
The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Demarcus Robinson's 19.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 33.3.
Demarcus Robinson is positioned as one of the bottom pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a mere 1.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers.

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