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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-227).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Demarcus Robinson's 59.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a noteable gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 51.1% figure.
  • The Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) vs. WRs this year (70.9%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's group of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 20.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 33.3.
  • With a mere 1.3 adjusted receptions per game (22nd percentile) this year, Demarcus Robinson has been among the bottom WRs in the game in the NFL.

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