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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the San Francisco 49ers.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 51.1% to 56.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Demarcus Robinson has run fewer routes this season (49.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (84.8%).
  • With a subpar 1.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Demarcus Robinson rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
  • This year, the daunting Falcons defense has allowed a meager 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • The Falcons pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (68.1%).

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