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This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (46.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Commanders.The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
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