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Deebo Samuel Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Deebo Samuel Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -330.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 48.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 38.2.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 63.6% rate.

Deebo Samuel Sr. ranks in the 81st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 0.33 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (48.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

The Commanders are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Deebo Samuel Sr. has been given 5.4% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to wideouts).

With an exceptional ratio of 0.07 touchdowns on the ground per game (95th percentile), Deebo Samuel Sr. places as one of the leading rushing TD-scorers in football among wide receivers and tight ends this year.

This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in football.

This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a measly 0.43 passing TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Deebo Samuel Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16