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Deebo Samuel Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Deebo Samuel Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -295 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 52.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 38.2.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.6% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.6% red zone run rate.

The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Deebo Samuel Sr. to be much less involved in his offense's passing game near the end zone in this game (27.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (37.9% in games he has played).

Deebo Samuel Sr. has rushed for 0.09 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to WRs and TEs (94th percentile).

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football against the Denver Broncos defense this year (64.7% Adjusted Completion%).

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Deebo Samuel Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13