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Deebo Samuel
NFL · Player Props
Deebo Samuel
WR · San Francisco 49ers
Rushing Yards
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022 Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC
NFL Props Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accumulate 4.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.
  • The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Deebo Samuel has been given 12.9% of carries this year (99th percentile).
Favors Under
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on just 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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