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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-117).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accumulate 3.4 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.

The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Deebo Samuel has received 13.5% of carries this year (99th percentile).

Deebo Samuel has averaged 24.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among WRs and TEs (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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