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Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to notch 3.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Deebo Samuel has been given 13.4% of rush attempts since the start of last season (99th percentile).Deebo Samuel has averaged 25.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in football among wide receivers and tight ends (100th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on just 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.The San Francisco 49ers have elected to go for it on 4th down a measly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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