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Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Commanders to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (42.0 per game) this year.

In this game, Deebo Samuel Sr. is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 94th percentile among wideouts with 9.6 targets.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 27.3% Target Share this year reflects a noteable gain in his pass attack volume over last year's 18.6% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.

This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a paltry 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 9