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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Commanders.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 131.0 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • In this game, Deebo Samuel Sr. is forecasted by the model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Commanders this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).

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