reorder

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to garner 9.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Deebo Samuel Sr. has been a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this year (28.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).

Deebo Samuel Sr. comes in as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an outstanding 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 81.1% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 63.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Commanders grades out as the worst in the league this year.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 6