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Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 27.4% Target Share this season marks a noteable growth in his pass game usage over last season's 18.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.

The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.

This year, the fierce Broncos defense has yielded a measly 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

The Broncos safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 13