My Account Log Out

reorder

Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to accrue 7.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With an elite 21.6% Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.

Deebo Samuel's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 69.3% to 60.8%.

The Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.5%) to wide receivers this year (58.5%).

The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™