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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Deebo Samuel has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 4.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.

Deebo Samuel's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 58.0.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

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