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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-103/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (42.0 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Deebo Samuel Sr. is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 94th percentile among wideouts with 9.6 targets.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 27.3% Target Share this year reflects a noteable gain in his pass attack volume over last year's 18.6% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.25 mark last year.
  • This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a paltry 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
  • This year, the tough Seahawks defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 6.9 yards.

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