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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+100/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

With a 66.5% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL has been the Commanders.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Deebo Samuel Sr. is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers with 8.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year's 8.3% rate.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Raiders defense has surrendered a mere 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 8th-best in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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