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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.

In this game, Deebo Samuel Sr. is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.1 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Deebo Samuel Sr. checks in as one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 1st percentile.

Since the start of last season, the tough Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a feeble 127.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 6th-best in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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