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Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.

A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel Sr. to accumulate 8.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a remarkable regression in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 8.3% figure.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17