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Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.

The predictive model expects Deebo Samuel Sr. to accumulate 7.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 25.4% Target% this season conveys a significant growth in his passing attack volume over last season's 18.6% rate.

With a remarkable 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (77th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel Sr. ranks among the leading WRs in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.25 rate last season.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.3%).

This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a mere 7.2 yards.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

Deebo Samuel Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16