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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to total 7.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 25.2% Target Share this year shows a meaningful gain in his air attack usage over last year's 18.6% rate.
  • With a remarkable 47.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel Sr. places among the top wide receivers in the NFL in football.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 78.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a meaningful growth in his receiving ability over last season's 63.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 29.34 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.25 figure last season.

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