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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 27.4% Target Share this season marks a noteable growth in his pass game usage over last season's 18.6% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.25 rate last season.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 123.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

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