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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+100/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • In this week's contest, Deebo Samuel Sr. is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 95th percentile among WRs with 9.4 targets.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 27.4% Target% this season indicates a meaningful progression in his passing attack usage over last season's 18.6% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a substantial reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 8.3% figure.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.5%).
  • The Lions linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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