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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-107/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 59.8 plays per game.

Deebo Samuel is positioned as one of the top wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 8.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 99th percentile.

The Giants pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. WRs last year, allowing 8.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.

The New York Giants safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 6 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense last year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Last year, the strong New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a measly 3.9 YAC.

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