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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.04 seconds per play) will speed along at the 3rd-quickest pace among all games this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
  • This week, Deebo Samuel is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.
  • The model projects Deebo Samuel to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game in this week's game (24.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.2% in games he has played).
  • After accumulating 46.0 air yards per game last year, Deebo Samuel has shown good development this year, now averaging 54.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Deebo Samuel's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 69.3% to 60.6%.
  • Deebo Samuel's 9.2 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 10.4 figure.

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