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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-960).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -560 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -960.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • While DeAndre Hopkins has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game at 7.9%.
  • DeAndre Hopkins grades out in the 75th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.29 per game.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the league against the Bears defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (50.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens this year (just 49.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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