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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+980/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Rams defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • While DeAndre Hopkins has received 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest at 6.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.4% pass rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 38.2.

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