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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+990/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • While DeAndre Hopkins has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Baltimore's passing offense near the end zone this week at 6.4%.
  • With a remarkable 71.2% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
  • DeAndre Hopkins ranks in the 87th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.40 per game.
  • The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 38.2.

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