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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -630 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this game (7.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • With a stellar 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins stands as one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
  • With a remarkable rate of 0.50 per game through the air (93rd percentile), DeAndre Hopkins ranks as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to wideouts this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a massive 1.10 TDs through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 6th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.5% red zone run rate.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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