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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+340/-475).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +400 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +340.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While DeAndre Hopkins has received 1.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 10.9%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • After totaling 57.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has undergone a big decline this year, currently averaging 35.0 per game.

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