My Account Log Out
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -385 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects DeAndre Hopkins to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (11.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • After totaling 57.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has produced significantly fewer this year, currently boasting 35.0 per game.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™