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DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+460/-560).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -440 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -560.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

While DeAndre Hopkins has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 9.9%.

This year, the weak Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a monstrous 1.11 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.33 per game) against the Browns defense this year.

The Browns defensive ends grade out as the best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 5th-most run-focused offense in football in the red zone (48.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Ravens.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11