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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-770).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -720 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -770.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects DeAndre Hopkins to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (5.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 54.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 5th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.

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