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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

DeAndre Hopkins grades out as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching an excellent 72.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

The Lions pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63.6%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (63.6%).

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