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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+230/-325).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -325.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • DeAndre Hopkins comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching a terrific 71.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (62.6%).

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