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DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

While DeAndre Hopkins has earned 9.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Baltimore's passing attack in this week's game at 15.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.

The Ravens O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

DeAndre Hopkins's 1.3 adjusted catches per game this season marks a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 3.5 mark.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 18