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DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+175/-255).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +220 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While DeAndre Hopkins has earned 8.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's offense in this week's contest at 14.3%.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

DeAndre Hopkins's receiving skills have diminished this season, averaging a mere 1.2 adjusted receptions compared to 3.5 last season.

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DeAndre Hopkins ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 12