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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

The projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game in this contest (21.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).

DeAndre Hopkins's 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a noteable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 56.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Tennessee Titans.

The projections expect the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

DeAndre Hopkins's 2.7 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a noteable reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 4.4 mark.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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