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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

While DeAndre Hopkins has been responsible for 13.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Tennessee's passing offense in this week's game at 19.5%.

DeAndre Hopkins's 69.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 56.6% mark.

The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) versus wide receivers this year (74.3%).

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

DeAndre Hopkins's receiving skills have diminished this year, accumulating a measly 2.4 adjusted catches compared to 4.4 last year.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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