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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a remarkable gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 56.6% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has been used less as a potential target this year (54.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (86.5%).
  • DeAndre Hopkins's receiving talent has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 3.3 adjusted receptions vs 4.4 last season.
  • The Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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