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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

DeAndre Hopkins comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching a terrific 71.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

The Browns pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 9.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has not been good when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.99 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.

With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins stands among the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league in picking up extra yardage.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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