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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a significant gain in his receiving talent over last year's 8.4 figure.
  • This year, the anemic New England Patriots defense has been gouged for the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a staggering 8.56 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has been used less as a potential target this season (40.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.1%).

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