|
|
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-116).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.While DeAndre Hopkins has earned 8.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's offense in this week's contest at 14.3%.DeAndre Hopkins's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, compiling 10.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.44 rate last year.When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.After totaling 57.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has produced significantly fewer this year, currently boasting 35.0 per game.The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
