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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 11.6 adjusted yards per target this season marks a remarkable progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 8.4 rate.
  • This year, the feeble Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a massive 8.78 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.1 per game) this year.

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