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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.
  • With an outstanding 71.2% Adjusted Catch% (76th percentile) last year, DeAndre Hopkins has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71%) vs. wide receivers last year (71.0%).
  • Last year, the shaky Buffalo Bills defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a monstrous 8.51 yards.
  • The Bills safeties project as the worst collection of safeties in football last year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.
  • With a feeble 2.23 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (13th percentile) last year, DeAndre Hopkins ranks among the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL in the open field.

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