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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

When it comes to air yards, DeAndre Hopkins ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing an impressive 107.0 per game.

With an impressive 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins rates among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast DeAndre Hopkins to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack in this week's contest (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.9% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

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