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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game in this week's game (19.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 74.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last season's 56.6% rate.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 9.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last season's 7.8 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.
  • At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (45.0 per game) than he did last year (119.0 per game).
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 61.0 figure.
  • With a lackluster 2.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (12th percentile) this year, DeAndre Hopkins stands among the best wide receivers in the league in the league in space.

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